14.06.2026 19:00Houston Stadium · Houston
GermanyvsCuraçao
KYRON Hauptempfehlung
1X · 1
Modell-Scoreline: GER 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Tendenz GER gewinnt
9,9 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:0Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
87Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis
xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 76/100 · Risiko low
57 %Sieg GER
23 %Remis
21 %Sieg CUW
1,85xG Heim
1,03xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
76Confidence
87Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.
Plausible Modell-Scorelines
Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.
1:1
10,7 %
10,7 %
1:0
10,4 %
10,4 %
2:1
9,9 %
9,9 %
2:0
9,6 %
9,6 %
3:1
6,1 %
6,1 %
3:0
5,9 %
5,9 %
0:1
5,8 %
5,8 %
0:0
5,7 %
5,7 %
Over 2.5 55 % BTTS 54 % Hauptempfehlung: 1X Risiko low
V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale
FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 441,77 · FIFA-Rang 10 vs 82
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 441,77 · FIFA-Rang 10 vs 82
Gewicht 30,2 % Qualität 95 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 406,0
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 406,0
Gewicht 22,9 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 6,42
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 6,42
Gewicht 17,3 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,128, Auswärtsspur -0,137
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,128, Auswärtsspur -0,137
Gewicht 29,7 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
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Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":76,"risk":"low","warnings":[],"model_agreement":1,"separation":0.339037626157423332973195329032023437321186065673828125},"direct_tip":{"score":"2:1","label":"Modell-Scoreline: GER 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Tendenz GER gewinnt","probability":0.0989340565694381279815416974088293500244617462158203125,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.1071793538617627217224281821472686715424060821533203125},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.1044234781336668138607137734652496874332427978515625},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.0989340565694381279815416974088293500244617462158203125},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.0963901900936853517354307996356510557234287261962890625},{"home_goals":3,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.06088204613181401325672226221286109648644924163818359375}],"reason":"xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 76/100 · Risiko low"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Tendenz GER gewinnt","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}