27.06.2026 02:00Guadalajara Stadium · Zapopan
UruguayvsSpanien
KYRON Hauptempfehlung

X2 · 2

Modell-Scoreline: ESP 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Vorsichtig: X2

9,5 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
1:3Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
67Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis

xG-Vorteil Auswärtsteam · Stärkste Signale: Attack/Defense pro Auswärts, FIFA Ranking pro Auswärts · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: X2 · Confidence 64/100 · Risiko medium

28 %Sieg URU
24 %Remis
48 %Sieg ESP
1,20xG Heim
1,65xG Auswärts
21X2 Haupttipp
64Confidence
67Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.

Plausible Modell-Scorelines

Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.

1:1
11,5 %
0:1
9,6 %
1:2
9,5 %
0:2
7,9 %
1:0
6,9 %
2:1
6,9 %
0:0
5,8 %
2:2
5,7 %

Over 2.5 54 % BTTS 56 % Hauptempfehlung: X2 Risiko medium

V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale

FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz -201,64 · FIFA-Rang 16 vs 2
Gewicht 31,3 % Qualität 100 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz -174,7
Gewicht 22,5 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz -7,23
Gewicht 17,0 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur -0,228, Auswärtsspur 0,245
Gewicht 29,3 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
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Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":64,"risk":"medium","warnings":[],"model_agreement":1,"separation":0.20293331028986738573394177365116775035858154296875},"direct_tip":{"score":"1:2","label":"Modell-Scoreline: ESP 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Vorsichtig: X2","probability":0.094568162249590248524810931485262699425220489501953125,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.11459285292779967935228313535844790749251842498779296875},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.09581827467374907925101723549232701770961284637451171875},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":2,"probability":0.094568162249590248524810931485262699425220489501953125},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":2,"probability":0.07907437431139009709202269959860132075846195220947265625},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.069428873469459972955775128866662271320819854736328125}],"reason":"xG-Vorteil Auswärtsteam · Stärkste Signale: Attack/Defense pro Auswärts, FIFA Ranking pro Auswärts · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: X2 · Confidence 64/100 · Risiko medium"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Vorsichtig: X2","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}