21.06.2026 21:00Los Angeles Stadium · Los Angeles
BelgiumvsIran
KYRON Hauptempfehlung

DNB 1 · 1

Modell-Scoreline: BEL 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante

8,7 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:0Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
35Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis

enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, Attack/Defense pro Auswärts · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 1 · Confidence 46/100 · Risiko high

40 %Sieg BEL
25 %Remis
35 %Sieg IRN
1,45xG Heim
1,33xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
46Confidence
35Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.

Plausible Modell-Scorelines

Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.

1:1
12,0 %
1:0
9,0 %
2:1
8,7 %
0:1
8,2 %
1:2
8,0 %
2:0
6,5 %
0:0
6,2 %
2:2
5,8 %

Over 2.5 53 % BTTS 56 % Hauptempfehlung: DNB 1 Risiko high

V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale

FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 122,66 · FIFA-Rang 9 vs 20
Gewicht 31,3 % Qualität 100 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 80,4
Gewicht 22,5 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz -7,79
Gewicht 17,0 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur -0,070, Auswärtsspur 0,088
Gewicht 29,3 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
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Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":46,"risk":"high","warnings":[],"model_agreement":0.53749999999999997779553950749686919152736663818359375,"separation":0.053005267420172919035081804395304061472415924072265625},"direct_tip":{"score":"2:1","label":"Modell-Scoreline: BEL 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante","probability":0.086673329886436112357017691465443931519985198974609375,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.1195284714269590764512685154841165058314800262451171875},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.08962843820948052098174230195581912994384765625},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.086673329886436112357017691465443931519985198974609375},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.08241898344268654141853147621077368967235088348388671875},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":2,"probability":0.07970157556619204830550273754852241836488246917724609375}],"reason":"enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, Attack/Defense pro Auswärts · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 1 · Confidence 46/100 · Risiko high"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant. 1X2-Ausgang eng, Exact Score besonders vorsichtig lesen.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}