20.06.2026 19:00Houston Stadium · Houston
NiederlandevsSweden
KYRON Hauptempfehlung
1X · 1
Modell-Scoreline: NED 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Vorsichtig: 1X
9,4 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:0Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
63Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis
xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, Attack/Defense pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 61/100 · Risiko medium
47 %Sieg NED
25 %Remis
28 %Sieg SWE
1,61xG Heim
1,20xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
61Confidence
63Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.
Plausible Modell-Scorelines
Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.
1:1
11,6 %
11,6 %
1:0
9,7 %
9,7 %
2:1
9,4 %
9,4 %
2:0
7,8 %
7,8 %
0:1
7,2 %
7,2 %
1:2
7,0 %
7,0 %
0:0
6,0 %
6,0 %
2:2
5,6 %
5,6 %
Over 2.5 53 % BTTS 56 % Hauptempfehlung: 1X Risiko medium
V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale
FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 243,78 · FIFA-Rang 8 vs 38
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 243,78 · FIFA-Rang 8 vs 38
Gewicht 31,3 % Qualität 100 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 53,6
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 53,6
Gewicht 22,5 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 1,78
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 1,78
Gewicht 17,0 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,158, Auswärtsspur -0,154
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,158, Auswärtsspur -0,154
Gewicht 29,3 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
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Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":61,"risk":"medium","warnings":[],"model_agreement":0.82999999999999996003197111349436454474925994873046875,"separation":0.186243021626328442152953357435762882232666015625},"direct_tip":{"score":"2:1","label":"Modell-Scoreline: NED 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Vorsichtig: 1X","probability":0.09373319457521010755751689202952547930181026458740234375,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.11618068149069837868836430061492137610912322998046875},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.0968850746170753784891616078311926685273647308349609375},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.09373319457521010755751689202952547930181026458740234375},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.07816572801944828008391397133891587145626544952392578125},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.07200197759616820680772519835954881273210048675537109375}],"reason":"xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, Attack/Defense pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 61/100 · Risiko medium"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Vorsichtig: 1X","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}