17.06.2026 19:00Houston Stadium · Houston
PortugalvsDR Kongo
KYRON Hauptempfehlung

1X · 1

Modell-Scoreline: POR 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Vorsichtig: 1X

9,5 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:0Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
63Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis

xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 62/100 · Risiko medium

49 %Sieg POR
24 %Remis
27 %Sieg COD
1,67xG Heim
1,16xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
62Confidence
63Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.

Plausible Modell-Scorelines

Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.

1:1
11,4 %
1:0
9,9 %
2:1
9,5 %
2:0
8,2 %
0:1
6,9 %
1:2
6,6 %
0:0
5,9 %
2:2
5,5 %

Over 2.5 54 % BTTS 56 % Hauptempfehlung: 1X Risiko medium

V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale

FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 293,42 · FIFA-Rang 5 vs 46
Gewicht 31,3 % Qualität 100 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 225,6
Gewicht 22,5 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 7,71
Gewicht 17,0 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,018, Auswärtsspur -0,026
Gewicht 29,3 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
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Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":62,"risk":"medium","warnings":[],"model_agreement":0.707500000000000017763568394002504646778106689453125,"separation":0.226927960023311836579296141280792653560638427734375},"direct_tip":{"score":"2:1","label":"Modell-Scoreline: POR 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Vorsichtig: 1X","probability":0.09541599686482805930953787765247398056089878082275390625,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.1144805565889686349567710976771195419132709503173828125},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.09876052320876994861098552291878149844706058502197265625},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.09541599686482805930953787765247398056089878082275390625},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.082313836110094573683682028786279261112213134765625},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.06867715198472694460019027928865398280322551727294921875}],"reason":"xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 62/100 · Risiko medium"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Vorsichtig: 1X","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}