17.06.2026 06:00San Francisco Bay Area Stadium · San Francisco
ÖsterreichvsJordan
KYRON Hauptempfehlung

DNB 1 · 1

Modell-Scoreline: AUT 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante

8,9 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:0Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
42Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis

enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Auswärts · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 1 · Confidence 51/100 · Risiko high

42 %Sieg AUT
25 %Remis
33 %Sieg JOR
1,49xG Heim
1,30xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
51Confidence
42Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.

Plausible Modell-Scorelines

Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.

1:1
11,9 %
1:0
9,2 %
2:1
8,9 %
0:1
8,0 %
1:2
7,7 %
2:0
6,8 %
0:0
6,2 %
2:2
5,7 %

Over 2.5 53 % BTTS 56 % Hauptempfehlung: DNB 1 Risiko high

V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale

FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 209,66 · FIFA-Rang 24 vs 63
Gewicht 30,2 % Qualität 95 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz -102,6
Gewicht 22,9 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 9,35
Gewicht 17,3 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,073, Auswärtsspur -0,057
Gewicht 29,7 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
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Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":51,"risk":"high","warnings":[],"model_agreement":0.77142857142857146346415220250491984188556671142578125,"separation":0.085705232401789455121132732529076747596263885498046875},"direct_tip":{"score":"2:1","label":"Modell-Scoreline: AUT 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante","probability":0.08857394856426470397536832024343311786651611328125,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.11920053557120165177440895831750822253525257110595703125},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.09187973951892365598315137731333379633724689483642578125},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.08857394856426470397536832024343311786651611328125},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.080208503238128503465276253336924128234386444091796875},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":2,"probability":0.07732263802040305333829195433281711302697658538818359375}],"reason":"enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Auswärts · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 1 · Confidence 51/100 · Risiko high"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant. 1X2-Ausgang eng, Exact Score besonders vorsichtig lesen.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}