17.06.2026 03:00Kansas City Stadium · Kansas City
ArgentinavsAlgeria
KYRON Hauptempfehlung

DNB 1 · 1

Modell-Scoreline: ARG 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante

8,9 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:0Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
41Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis

enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 1 · Confidence 51/100 · Risiko high

42 %Sieg ARG
25 %Remis
32 %Sieg ALG
1,50xG Heim
1,28xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
51Confidence
41Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.

Plausible Modell-Scorelines

Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.

1:1
11,9 %
1:0
9,3 %
2:1
8,9 %
0:1
7,9 %
1:2
7,6 %
2:0
7,0 %
0:0
6,2 %
2:2
5,7 %

Over 2.5 53 % BTTS 56 % Hauptempfehlung: DNB 1 Risiko high

V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale

FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 306,24 · FIFA-Rang 1 vs 28
Gewicht 31,3 % Qualität 100 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 0,0
Gewicht 22,5 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz -1,51
Gewicht 17,0 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,000, Auswärtsspur 0,000
Gewicht 29,3 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
{"match":{"id":19,"kickoff_at":"2026-06-17 03:00:00","venue":"Kansas City Stadium"},"home":{"id":37,"name":"Argentina","short_name":"ARG","elo":"1700.00","kyron_elo":null,"attack_rating":"70.00","defense_rating":"70.00","form_rating":"70.00","rolling_form":null,"fifa_rank":1,"fifa_points":"1877.27","fifa_points_delta":"2.46","source":"fifa_ranking_2026_06_11","source_date":"2026-06-11","data_quality":"1.00","is_host":0},"away":{"id":38,"name":"Algeria","short_name":"ALG","elo":"1700.00","kyron_elo":null,"attack_rating":"70.00","defense_rating":"70.00","form_rating":"70.00","rolling_form":null,"fifa_rank":28,"fifa_points":"1571.03","fifa_points_delta":"6.77","source":"fifa_ranking_2026_06_11","source_date":"2026-06-11","data_quality":"1.00","is_host":0},"adjustment":null,"settings":{"base_goals":1.350000000000000088817841970012523233890533447265625,"host_factor":0.11999999999999999555910790149937383830547332763671875,"home_advantage":0.08000000000000000166533453693773481063544750213623046875,"weights":{"fifa_ranking":0.3125,"kyron_elo":0.22499999999999997779553950749686919152736663818359375,"form":0.1700000000000000122124532708767219446599483489990234375,"attack_defense":0.292499999999999982236431605997495353221893310546875,"market":0}},"v9_mismatch_goal_bonus":{"weighted_edge":0.1870014620115429959668063020217232406139373779296875,"bonus":0.005041052648310962065736351433997697313316166400909423828125},"ensemble":[{"key":"fifa_ranking","label":"FIFA Ranking","weight":0.25,"home_edge":0.622540678436937611195389763452112674713134765625,"home_xg_adjustment":0.211663830668558816672231159827788360416889190673828125,"away_xg_adjustment":-0.211663830668558816672231159827788360416889190673828125,"confidence":0.92000000000000003996802888650563545525074005126953125,"data_quality":1,"explanation":"Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 306,24 · FIFA-Rang 1 vs 28","debug":{"home_points":1877.26999999999998181010596454143524169921875,"away_points":1571.029999999999972715158946812152862548828125,"points_diff":306.240000000000009094947017729282379150390625},"effective_weight":0.3125},{"key":"kyron_elo","label":"KYRON Elo","weight":0.25,"home_edge":0,"home_xg_adjustment":0,"away_xg_adjustment":-0,"confidence":0.40000000000000002220446049250313080847263336181640625,"data_quality":0.7199999999999999733546474089962430298328399658203125,"explanation":"KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 0,0","debug":{"home_elo":1700,"away_elo":1700,"home_host_bonus":0,"away_host_bonus":0,"elo_diff":0},"effective_weight":0.22499999999999997779553950749686919152736663818359375},{"key":"form","label":"Form","weight":0.200000000000000011102230246251565404236316680908203125,"home_edge":-0.044367647058823518613213110484139178879559040069580078125,"home_xg_adjustment":-0.0097608823529411747887962746972334571182727813720703125,"away_xg_adjustment":0.0097608823529411747887962746972334571182727813720703125,"confidence":0.3874272727272727312453071135678328573703765869140625,"data_quality":0.68000000000000004884981308350688777863979339599609375,"explanation":"Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz -1,51","debug":{"home_form":70,"away_form":70,"home_delta":2.45999999999999996447286321199499070644378662109375,"away_delta":6.769999999999999573674358543939888477325439453125,"form_diff":-1.5084999999999997299937604111619293689727783203125},"effective_weight":0.1700000000000000122124532708767219446599483489990234375},{"key":"attack_defense","label":"Attack/Defense","weight":0.299999999999999988897769753748434595763683319091796875,"home_edge":0,"home_xg_adjustment":0,"away_xg_adjustment":0,"confidence":0.38000000000000000444089209850062616169452667236328125,"data_quality":0.7800000000000000266453525910037569701671600341796875,"explanation":"Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,000, Auswärtsspur 0,000","debug":{"home_attack":70,"away_attack":70,"home_defense":70,"away_defense":70,"home_lane":0,"away_lane":0},"effective_weight":0.292499999999999982236431605997495353221893310546875},{"key":"market","label":"Market Check","weight":0,"home_edge":0,"home_xg_adjustment":0,"away_xg_adjustment":0,"confidence":0,"data_quality":0,"explanation":"Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":51,"risk":"high","warnings":[],"model_agreement":0.6875,"separation":0.09855796231095703685554099138244055211544036865234375},"direct_tip":{"score":"2:1","label":"Modell-Scoreline: ARG 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante","probability":0.08927772931174930703956960087452898733317852020263671875,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.1190745483952435901375821458714199252426624298095703125},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.0928536918302285130266682244837284088134765625},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.08927772931174930703956960087452898733317852020263671875},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.079408090824198585000459615912404842674732208251953125},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":2,"probability":0.07634994256047082650251667246266151778399944305419921875}],"reason":"enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 1 · Confidence 51/100 · Risiko high"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant. 1X2-Ausgang eng, Exact Score besonders vorsichtig lesen.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}